Mammoth @ Senators

Sat, Nov 7

No line yet.

Mammoth at Senators: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Mammoth16 games	Senators17 games
	+0.39	−0.01
	+0.14	−0.10
	+3.1	−1.5
	−2.6	−0.1
	+0.57	−0.24
	+0.23	+0.22
	+0.5	+3.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

The Senators lead the series 3–1 since 2024-25.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Against a team over .500, the Senators' penalty minutes are 4.4 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, the Mammoth's power-play goals are 0.75 over expected in 10 games. A +0.98 difference in power-play goals over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →
Against a team over .500, the Mammoth's penalty minutes are 4.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Jan 7, 2026	at Mammoth	Mammoth 3, Senators 1
Nov 9, 2025	at Senators	Senators 4, Mammoth 2
Jan 26, 2025	at Senators	Senators 3, Mammoth 1
Oct 22, 2024	at Mammoth	Senators 4, Mammoth 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.