Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Lightning @ Predators

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Predators 5, Lightning 4

Lightning at Predators: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLightning1 gamePredators1 game
Goals+0.84+1.80
Goals against+1.84+0.71
Shots−1.9+7.3
Shots against+6.5−2.7
Power-play goals−0.60+0.30
Power-play goals allowed+0.18−0.67
Penalty minutes−3.3−3.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Predators

Lightning

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lightning

  • The Lightning had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • The Predators had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a team over .500, the Predators' power-play goals were 1.68 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.20 over expected.
  • At home, the Predators' power-play goals were 0.46 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.20 over expected.
  • The Lightning had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, the Lightning's goals against were 0.94 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.82 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at PredatorsPredators 5, Lightning 4
Mar 29, 2026at LightningLightning 3, Predators 2
Oct 28, 2025at PredatorsLightning 5, Predators 2
Nov 29, 2024at PredatorsLightning 3, Predators 2
Oct 28, 2024at LightningLightning 3, Predators 2
Dec 7, 2023at PredatorsPredators 5, Lightning 1
Oct 10, 2023at LightningLightning 5, Predators 3
Dec 8, 2022at LightningLightning 5, Predators 2
Nov 19, 2022at PredatorsLightning 3, Predators 2
Apr 23, 2022at LightningLightning 6, Predators 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.