Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Predators @ Avalanche

Thu, Nov 5

The odds have it Avalanche 3.73, Predators 2.83.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Predators at Avalanche: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gamePredators15 gamesAvalanche16 games
−0.09+0.94
−0.03+0.19
−1.3+3.3
+1.40.0
+0.32+0.01
−0.360.00
−2.6−1.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Avalanche

  • The Avalanche have won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

  • The Predators lead the series 58–51–5 since 1998-99. The Predators have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team over .500, the Avalanche's shots are 17.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Avalanche's goals are 1.65 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Avalanche's power-play goals are 0.37 under expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Predators' power-play goals are 1.00 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a team over .500, the Predators' power-play goals are 0.68 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Predators' shots are 3.2 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at PredatorsPredators 6, Avalanche 2
Jan 16, 2026at AvalanchePredators 7, Avalanche 3
Dec 13, 2025at AvalancheAvalanche 4, Predators 2
Dec 9, 2025at PredatorsPredators 4, Avalanche 3
Nov 22, 2025at PredatorsAvalanche 3, Predators 0
Feb 22, 2025at PredatorsPredators 2, Avalanche 1
Dec 14, 2024at AvalancheAvalanche 5, Predators 2
Nov 11, 2024at AvalancheAvalanche 3, Predators 2
Nov 2, 2024at PredatorsPredators 5, Avalanche 2
Mar 30, 2024at AvalancheAvalanche 7, Predators 4

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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