Penguins @ Canadiens

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Canadiens 5, Penguins 4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Canadiens had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
The Canadiens had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Against a team at .500 or under, the Canadiens' shots against were 18.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 over expected.
At home, the Canadiens' shots were 4.2 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 under expected.
The Penguins had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
On the road, the Penguins' goals against were 0.89 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.73 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.