Flames @ Avalanche

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Avalanche 5, Flames 2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Flames' goal differential was 1.05 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 2.64 under expected.
The Flames had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The Avalanche lead the series 86–83–20 since 1979-80. The Avalanche have won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

At home, the Avalanche's goals were 1.64 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.64 over expected.
On a back-to-back, the Flames' goal differential was 4.86 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.64 under expected.
On the road, the Flames' penalty minutes were 8.0 over expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.8 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.