Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Ducks @ Flames

Fri, Nov 6

The odds have it Flames 3.38, Ducks 3.22.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 5. Odds move until kickoff.

Ducks at Flames: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameDucks15 gamesFlames16 games
+0.40−0.80
+0.66+0.15
−2.9+0.2
+0.6+2.7
+0.55−0.06
+0.30−0.27
+3.8+1.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Flames

  • The Flames' goal differential is 1.07 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
  • The Flames have won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

  • The Ducks lead the series 80–62–7 since 1993-94. The Ducks have won 3 straight at the Flames.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Flames' shots are 7.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Flames' power-play goals are 0.30 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • The Ducks have lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →
  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Ducks' penalty minutes are 24.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Ducks' penalty minutes are 6.7 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Ducks' penalty minutes are 5.1 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 13, 2026at DucksFlames 4, Ducks 2
Oct 10, 2026at FlamesDucks 4, Flames 2
Apr 4, 2026at DucksFlames 5, Ducks 3
Mar 26, 2026at FlamesDucks 3, Flames 2
Mar 1, 2026at DucksDucks 3, Flames 2
Jan 25, 2026at FlamesDucks 4, Flames 3
Apr 9, 2025at DucksDucks 4, Flames 3
Apr 3, 2025at FlamesFlames 4, Ducks 1
Jan 30, 2025at FlamesFlames 4, Ducks 1
Jan 7, 2025at DucksFlames 3, Ducks 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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