Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Capitals @ Predators

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Capitals 4, Predators 3

Capitals at Predators: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCapitals1 gamePredators1 game
Goals+0.84−0.27
Goals against−0.20+0.77
Shots+1.2−0.1
Shots against+1.2+2.2
Power-play goals−0.59+0.25
Power-play goals allowed+0.19−0.67
Penalty minutes−3.3−5.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Predators

Capitals

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Capitals

  • The Capitals’ penalty minutes were 3.8 lower at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 32nd of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.4 under expected.

The series

  • The Predators lead the series 21–20–1 since 1998-99. The Capitals have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Predators had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a team over .500, the Predators’ power-play goals were 3.26 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.11 over expected.
  • At home, the Predators’ power-play goals were 0.51 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.11 over expected.
  • On a back-to-back, the Capitals’ penalty minutes were 6.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 29, 2026at PredatorsCapitals 4, Predators 3
Feb 5, 2026at CapitalsCapitals 4, Predators 2
Jan 11, 2026at PredatorsPredators 3, Capitals 2
Jan 11, 2025at PredatorsCapitals 4, Predators 1
Nov 6, 2024at CapitalsCapitals 3, Predators 2
Dec 30, 2023at CapitalsPredators 3, Capitals 2
Dec 16, 2023at PredatorsPredators 3, Capitals 1
Jan 6, 2023at CapitalsPredators 3, Capitals 2
Oct 29, 2022at PredatorsCapitals 3, Predators 0
Feb 15, 2022at PredatorsCapitals 4, Predators 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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