Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Panthers @ Capitals

Sat, Nov 7

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Panthers at Capitals: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gamePanthers15 gamesCapitals14 games
−0.10+0.33
−0.23+0.24
+1.2+0.7
−2.9−0.1
+0.32−0.13
−0.04+0.10
+3.8−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Panthers

  • The Panthers' shots are 3.7 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →

The series

  • The Capitals lead the series 72–68–9 since 1993-94. The Panthers have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team over .500, the Capitals' goals against are 2.36 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a team over .500, the Panthers' power-play goals are 0.93 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Jan 17, 2026at CapitalsPanthers 5, Capitals 2
Dec 29, 2025at PanthersPanthers 5, Capitals 3
Nov 13, 2025at PanthersPanthers 6, Capitals 3
Mar 22, 2025at CapitalsCapitals 6, Panthers 3
Feb 4, 2025at CapitalsCapitals 6, Panthers 3
Nov 25, 2024at PanthersCapitals 4, Panthers 1
Feb 24, 2024at PanthersPanthers 3, Capitals 2
Feb 8, 2024at PanthersPanthers 4, Capitals 2
Nov 8, 2023at CapitalsPanthers 4, Capitals 3
Apr 8, 2023at CapitalsPanthers 4, Capitals 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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