Mammoth @
Penguins
Mammoth 4, Penguins 3
| a game | Mammoth1 game | Penguins1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.78 | −0.26 |
| Goals against | −0.25 | +0.75 |
| Shots | +8.4 | +7.1 |
| Shots against | +4.8 | +6.4 |
| Power-play goals | −0.63 | −0.82 |
| Power-play goals allowed | −0.69 | −0.87 |
| Penalty minutes | −7.3 | −7.8 |
Who put up numbers
Penguins
Mammoth
Analysis
The series
- The Mammoth lead the series 4–2 since 2024-25. The Mammoth have won the last 2. The Mammoth have won 3 straight at the Penguins.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- The Penguins had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, the Penguins' goals against were 1.01 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.71 over expected.
- On the road, the Mammoth's power-play goals were 0.84 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.84 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | at Penguins | Mammoth 4, Penguins 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | at Mammoth | Mammoth 5, Penguins 4 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Mammoth | Penguins 4, Mammoth 3 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | at Penguins | Mammoth 5, Penguins 4 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | at Mammoth | Penguins 3, Mammoth 2 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | at Penguins | Mammoth 6, Penguins 1 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
- A game with no box score sits out.