Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flyers @ Capitals

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Capitals 5, Flyers 2

Flyers at Capitals: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlyers1 gameCapitals1 game
Goals−1.24+1.76
Goals against+1.73−0.90
Shots−2.1+0.9
Shots against+2.0+1.2
Power-play goals+0.29+0.29
Power-play goals allowed+0.32+0.37
Penalty minutes−1.3+0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Capitals

Flyers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Capitals

  • The Capitals' penalty minutes were 3.7 lower at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 32nd of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.

The series

  • The Flyers lead the series 140–122–19 since 1974-75. The Capitals have won the last 2. The Capitals have won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Capitals had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Capitals' goal differential was 1.53 over expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.72 over expected.
  • The Flyers had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On a back-to-back, the Flyers' shots against were 6.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Flyers' power-play goals were 0.64 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.36 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at CapitalsCapitals 5, Flyers 2
Mar 31, 2026at CapitalsCapitals 6, Flyers 4
Mar 11, 2026at FlyersFlyers 4, Capitals 1
Feb 25, 2026at CapitalsCapitals 3, Flyers 1
Feb 3, 2026at FlyersFlyers 4, Capitals 2
Mar 20, 2025at CapitalsCapitals 3, Flyers 2
Feb 6, 2025at FlyersCapitals 4, Flyers 3
Oct 23, 2024at CapitalsCapitals 6, Flyers 3
Oct 22, 2024at FlyersCapitals 4, Flyers 1
Apr 16, 2024at FlyersCapitals 2, Flyers 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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