Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flyers @ Rangers

Thu, Nov 5

The odds have it Rangers 3.15, Flyers 2.68.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Flyers at Rangers: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameFlyers17 gamesRangers16 games
−1.02−0.21
+0.16−0.30
−3.4−2.0
+1.3−0.7
−0.22−0.25
−0.07−0.41
+0.4+0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • The Rangers have won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Against a division opponent, the Rangers' goals are 1.39 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Rangers' goal differential is 1.63 over expected in 9 games. 9 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Flyers' goal differential is 2.46 under expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a team over .500, the Flyers' shots against are 4.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Flyers' goals are 1.43 under expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Mar 9, 2026at FlyersRangers 6, Flyers 2
Feb 26, 2026at RangersFlyers 3, Rangers 2
Jan 17, 2026at FlyersRangers 6, Flyers 3
Dec 20, 2025at RangersRangers 5, Flyers 4
Apr 9, 2025at RangersFlyers 8, Rangers 5
Jan 23, 2025at RangersRangers 6, Flyers 1
Nov 29, 2024at FlyersFlyers 3, Rangers 1
Apr 11, 2024at RangersFlyers 4, Rangers 1
Mar 26, 2024at RangersRangers 6, Flyers 5
Feb 24, 2024at FlyersRangers 2, Flyers 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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