Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flames @ Oilers

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Oilers 4, Flames 0

Flames at Oilers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlames1 gameOilers1 game
Goals−3.17+0.74
Goals against+0.52−3.01
Shots−2.5+2.6
Shots against+5.6−3.3
Power-play goals−0.72+0.34
Power-play goals allowed+0.12−0.70
Penalty minutes+1.4−0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Oilers

Flames

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Oilers

  • The Oilers had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Flames

  • The Flames had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Flames had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • The Oilers had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Oilers' goals against were 1.15 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.00 under expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Oilers' goal differential was 1.46 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.54 over expected.
  • On the road, the Flames' penalty minutes were 9.8 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Flames' goal differential was 2.74 under expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.54 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at OilersOilers 4, Flames 0
Feb 4, 2026at FlamesFlames 4, Oilers 3
Dec 27, 2025at FlamesFlames 3, Oilers 2
Dec 23, 2025at OilersOilers 5, Flames 1
Oct 8, 2025at OilersFlames 4, Oilers 3
Mar 29, 2025at OilersOilers 3, Flames 2
Nov 3, 2024at FlamesOilers 4, Flames 2
Oct 13, 2024at OilersFlames 4, Oilers 1
Apr 6, 2024at FlamesOilers 4, Flames 2
Feb 24, 2024at OilersFlames 6, Oilers 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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