Ducks @ Oilers

Thu, Nov 5

The odds have it Oilers 3.94, Ducks 3.15.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Ducks at Oilers: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Ducks15 games	Oilers16 games
	+0.39	+0.98
	+0.65	−0.21
	−2.9	−1.9
	+0.6	−0.7
	+0.54	+0.46
	+0.30	+0.01
	+3.7	−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

The Ducks lead the series 74–72–2 since 1993-94.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Against a team at .500 or under, the Oilers' goals against are 3.03 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Against a division opponent, the Oilers' goal differential is 1.82 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Ducks have lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →
Against a team over .500, the Ducks' power-play goals are 3.14 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Against a division opponent, the Ducks' penalty minutes are 6.5 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, the Ducks' penalty minutes are 5.0 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 7, 2026	at Ducks	Oilers 5, Ducks 2
Apr 30, 2026	at Ducks	Ducks 5, Oilers 2
Apr 28, 2026	at Oilers	Oilers 4, Ducks 1
Apr 26, 2026	at Ducks	Ducks 4, Oilers 3
Apr 24, 2026	at Ducks	Ducks 7, Oilers 4
Apr 22, 2026	at Oilers	Ducks 6, Oilers 4
Apr 20, 2026	at Oilers	Oilers 4, Ducks 3
Mar 28, 2026	at Oilers	Oilers 4, Ducks 2
Feb 25, 2026	at Ducks	Ducks 6, Oilers 5
Jan 26, 2026	at Oilers	Oilers 7, Ducks 4

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.