Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Islanders @ Stars

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Stars 6, Islanders 3

Islanders at Stars: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameIslanders1 gameStars1 game
Goals+0.01+2.91
Goals against+2.90−0.07
Shots−4.8+11.4
Shots against+12.1−6.7
Power-play goals−0.60+0.34
Power-play goals allowed+0.33−0.64
Penalty minutes−3.3−1.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Stars

Islanders

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Stars

  • The Stars had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, the Stars' goals against were 0.84 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.06 over expected.
  • On the road, the Islanders' shots were 4.8 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at StarsStars 6, Islanders 3
Mar 26, 2026at IslandersIslanders 2, Stars 1
Nov 18, 2025at StarsIslanders 3, Stars 2
Feb 23, 2025at IslandersStars 4, Islanders 3
Oct 12, 2024at StarsStars 3, Islanders 0
Feb 26, 2024at StarsIslanders 3, Stars 2
Jan 21, 2024at IslandersIslanders 3, Stars 2
Jan 10, 2023at IslandersStars 2, Islanders 1
Nov 19, 2022at StarsStars 5, Islanders 2
Apr 5, 2022at StarsStars 3, Islanders 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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