Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Hurricanes @ Islanders

Thu, Nov 5

The odds have it Islanders 2.63, Hurricanes 3.20.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Hurricanes at Islanders: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameHurricanes17 gamesIslanders14 games
+0.53−0.35
−0.80−0.44
+5.0−1.9
−4.2−0.7
+0.10−0.21
−0.17−0.23
−1.6+2.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Hurricanes

  • The Hurricanes have won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

  • The Hurricanes lead the series 100–72–9 since 1979-80. The Hurricanes have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Islanders' penalty minutes are 4.7 over expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Islanders' goal differential is 1.60 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • The Hurricanes have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
  • The Hurricanes have won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →
  • Against a team over .500, the Hurricanes' shots against are 7.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Hurricanes' shots are 5.2 over expected in 10 games. A +7.5 difference in shots over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 14, 2026at IslandersHurricanes 2, Islanders 1
Apr 4, 2026at HurricanesHurricanes 4, Islanders 3
Oct 30, 2025at HurricanesHurricanes 6, Islanders 2
Mar 30, 2025at HurricanesHurricanes 6, Islanders 4
Jan 25, 2025at IslandersIslanders 3, Hurricanes 2
Dec 17, 2024at HurricanesHurricanes 4, Islanders 0
Dec 7, 2024at IslandersIslanders 4, Hurricanes 3
Apr 30, 2024at HurricanesHurricanes 6, Islanders 3
Apr 27, 2024at IslandersIslanders 3, Hurricanes 2
Apr 25, 2024at IslandersHurricanes 3, Islanders 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next