Stars @ Blue Jackets

Thu, Nov 5

The odds have it Blue Jackets 2.75, Stars 2.99.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Stars at Blue Jackets: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Stars15 games	Blue Jackets13 games
	−0.28	−0.40
	−0.80	−0.05
	−2.5	−1.3
	−5.1	−0.6
	−0.18	−0.22
	−0.35	+0.13
	−0.7	−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Blue Jackets

The Blue Jackets' goals are 0.75 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →

The series

The Stars lead the series 44–35 since 2000-01.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Against a team over .500, the Blue Jackets' goals against are 1.02 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Stars have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
Against a team at .500 or under, the Stars' goals against are 2.02 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, the Stars' goals against are 1.29 under expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 31, 2026	at Stars	Stars 3, Blue Jackets 1
Jan 22, 2026	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 1, Stars 0
Oct 21, 2025	at Stars	Blue Jackets 5, Stars 1
Feb 25, 2025	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 6, Stars 4
Feb 2, 2025	at Stars	Stars 5, Blue Jackets 3
Nov 9, 2023	at Blue Jackets	Stars 5, Blue Jackets 2
Oct 30, 2023	at Stars	Stars 5, Blue Jackets 3
Feb 18, 2023	at Stars	Blue Jackets 4, Stars 1
Dec 19, 2022	at Blue Jackets	Stars 2, Blue Jackets 1
Dec 2, 2021	at Stars	Stars 3, Blue Jackets 2

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.