Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Rangers @ Maple Leafs

Thu, Oct 22, 2026

Maple Leafs 5, Rangers 4

Rangers at Maple Leafs: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRangers1 gameMaple Leafs1 game
Goals+0.82+1.86
Goals against+1.68+0.91
Shots−3.4+8.0
Shots against+6.7−0.2
Power-play goals−0.62+0.40
Power-play goals allowed+0.22−0.64
Penalty minutes−5.4−7.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Maple Leafs

Rangers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Rangers

  • The Rangers had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • The Maple Leafs lead the series 314–259–95 since 1926-27. The Maple Leafs have won the last 2. The Maple Leafs have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Rangers had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, the Rangers' goals were 2.34 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.89 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 22, 2026at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 5, Rangers 4
Mar 25, 2026at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 4, Rangers 3
Mar 5, 2026at RangersRangers 6, Maple Leafs 2
Oct 16, 2025at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 2, Rangers 1
Mar 20, 2025at RangersMaple Leafs 4, Rangers 3
Feb 28, 2025at RangersMaple Leafs 3, Rangers 2
Oct 19, 2024at Maple LeafsRangers 4, Maple Leafs 1
Mar 2, 2024at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 4, Rangers 3
Dec 19, 2023at Maple LeafsRangers 5, Maple Leafs 2
Dec 12, 2023at RangersMaple Leafs 7, Rangers 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 21, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.