Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Bengals without B.J. Hill

without ,

The Bengals are 1–2 without B.J. Hill this season and 4–0 with him. Since 2021, they’re 2–4 in the 6 games he missed and 54–38 with him.

Missed games (achilles), per the NFL’s week 3 injury report.

B.J. Hill’s page

, a game

This season

MeasureWith B.J. Hill4 gamesWithout3 gamesDifference
Record4–01–2
Points allowed, over expected+2.9−4.7+7.6
Against the line+3.8+1.0+2.8
Points, over expected+10.9−3.1+14.0
Margin, over expected+7.4+1.5+5.9

3 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Last 35 games

MeasureWith B.J. Hill32 gamesWithout3 gamesDifference
Record17–151–2
Points allowed, over expected+1.7−4.7+6.5
Against the line−1.0+1.0−2.0
Points, over expected+2.6−3.1+5.7
Margin, over expected+0.9+1.5−0.6

3 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

The games he missed this season

DateGameResult
Oct 4, 2026vsJAXL 17–22
Sep 27, 2026@PITL 27–30
Sep 20, 2026@HOUW 20–6

Method

  • With him is a game he played, from the snap counts; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
  • Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers.
  • Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from nflverse’s schedules. A game with no line sits out.
  • Why he’s out: the NFL’s week 3 injury report.