Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Vikings @ Lions

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Lions 19, Vikings 15The Lions were favored by 3, and the Lions covered.

Vikings at Lions: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVikings1 gameLions1 game
Points−8.7−2.4
Points allowed−6.2−7.3
Total offense, yards−71+75
Total defense, yards+31−36
Passing yards−26−56
Rushing yards−29+120
Yards an attempt0.0+0.2
Sacks taken+0.6+1.6
Turnovers−0.3−0.1
Turnovers forced−0.1−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lions

Vikings

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lions

  • The Lions were 0.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 19th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+1.0 against the line this game.

Vikings

  • The Vikings had won 11 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Vikings had covered 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Vikings had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Vikings had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings were 5.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32, and 7.5 worse away than at home over their last 35, 28th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−1.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Lions had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • The Lions had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Lions were 1–3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • Against a division opponent, the Lions' carries were 6.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.5 over expected.
  • At home, the Lions' carries were 4.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.5 over expected.
  • The Vikings had covered 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Vikings' pass attempts were 10.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 under expected.
  • On the road, the Vikings' points allowed were 10.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at LionsLions 19, Vikings 15
Dec 25, 2025at VikingsVikings 23, Lions 10
Nov 2, 2025at LionsVikings 27, Lions 24
Jan 5, 2025at LionsLions 31, Vikings 9
Oct 20, 2024at VikingsLions 31, Vikings 29
Jan 7, 2024at LionsLions 30, Vikings 20
Dec 24, 2023at VikingsLions 30, Vikings 24
Dec 11, 2022at LionsLions 34, Vikings 23
Sep 25, 2022at VikingsVikings 28, Lions 24
Dec 5, 2021at LionsLions 29, Vikings 27

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.