Colts @ Jaguars

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Jaguars 42, Colts 7The Jaguars were favored by 10, and the Jaguars covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Jaguars were 5.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32, and 8.4 better at home than away over their last 35, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+25.0 against the line this game.

The Colts were 2.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 25th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−25.0 against the line this game.

The Colts lead the series 28–23 since 1995. The Jaguars have won the last 3. The Jaguars have won 11 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

The Jaguars had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
The Jaguars had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Jaguars were 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, the Jaguars' points of margin were 25.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.3 over expected.
Against a division opponent, the Jaguars' points allowed were 14.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.1 under expected.
The Colts had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
The Colts were 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
Against a division opponent, the Colts' sacks taken were 2.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.8 over expected.
On the road, the Colts' sacks taken were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.8 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.