Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Panthers @ Packers

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Packers 27, Panthers 19The Packers were favored by 3.5, and the Packers covered.

Panthers at Packers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePanthers1 gamePackers1 game
Points−3.6+3.1
Points allowed+4.5−4.8
Total offense, yards−52+3
Total defense, yards+9−75
Passing yards−25+55
Rushing yards−31−55
Yards an attempt−1.9+0.1
Sacks taken+3.7−2.3
Turnovers+0.9+1.7
Turnovers forced+1.8+0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Packers

Panthers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Packers

  • The Packers were 0.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 19th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+4.5 against the line this game.

Panthers

  • The Panthers were 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 21st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−4.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • On a short week, the Packers' pass attempts were 18.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.9 over expected.
  • At home, the Packers' passing yards were 63.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 36.4 over expected.
  • On the road, the Panthers' points allowed were 11.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 29, 2026at PackersPackers 27, Panthers 19
Nov 2, 2025at PackersPanthers 16, Packers 13
Dec 24, 2023at PanthersPackers 33, Panthers 30
Dec 19, 2020at PackersPackers 24, Panthers 16
Nov 10, 2019at PackersPackers 24, Panthers 16
Dec 17, 2017at PanthersPanthers 31, Packers 24
Nov 8, 2015at PanthersPanthers 37, Packers 29
Oct 19, 2014at PackersPackers 38, Panthers 17
Sep 18, 2011at PanthersPackers 30, Panthers 23
Nov 30, 2008at PackersPanthers 35, Packers 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.