Broncos @ Panthers

Sun, Nov 8 · Bank of America Stadium

The line has it Broncos 24, Panthers 21.Broncos −2.5, total 44.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Broncos at Panthers: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Broncos8 games	Panthers7 games
	−1.2	+2.6
	−2.6	+4.9
	−63	+38
	+21	+15
	−47	+47
	−18	−10
	−1.1	+0.2
	−1.0	+1.0
	−0.5	+0.2
	0.0	+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Panthers

The Panthers are 2.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 26th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Broncos

The Broncos have covered 4 straight, tied for the longest active cover streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
The Broncos have won 4 straight, tied for the longest active winning streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
The Broncos have covered 7 straight at home, the longest active home cover streak in the NFL and tied for the 7th-longest since 1999.streakthe runs →
The Broncos have won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
The Broncos are 0.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 13th of 32, and 8.4 worse away than at home over their last 35, 30th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The Broncos lead the series 7–2 since 1997.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The Panthers have lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →
Without Jalen Coker, the Panthers' turnovers are 1.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, the Panthers' points allowed are 18.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Broncos have won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →
The Broncos are 5–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without RJ Harvey, the Broncos' points of margin are 7.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 27, 2024	at Broncos	Broncos 28, Panthers 14
Nov 27, 2022	at Panthers	Panthers 23, Broncos 10
Dec 13, 2020	at Panthers	Broncos 32, Panthers 27
Sep 8, 2016	at Broncos	Broncos 21, Panthers 20
Feb 7, 2016	neutral	Broncos 24, Panthers 10
Nov 11, 2012	at Panthers	Broncos 36, Panthers 14
Dec 14, 2008	at Panthers	Panthers 30, Broncos 10
Oct 10, 2004	at Broncos	Broncos 20, Panthers 17
Nov 9, 1997	at Broncos	Broncos 34, Panthers 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.