Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Buccaneers @ Panthers

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Buccaneers 43, Panthers 13The Panthers were favored by 3, and the Buccaneers covered.

Buccaneers at Panthers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBuccaneers1 gamePanthers1 game
Points+19.7−9.6
Points allowed−11.4+21.1
Total offense, yards−29−38
Total defense, yards−70−11
Passing yards−170−24
Rushing yards+144−19
Yards an attempt−1.1−0.2
Sacks taken−2.3+2.8
Turnovers−1.2+2.9
Turnovers forced+2.8−1.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Panthers

Buccaneers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Panthers

  • The Panthers were 4.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−33.0 against the line this game.

Buccaneers

  • The Buccaneers were 1.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 20th of 32, and 3.6 better away than at home over their last 35, 4th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+33.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • The series is tied 26–26 since 1995. The Buccaneers have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a division opponent, the Panthers' points of margin were 34.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.8 under expected.
  • At home, the Panthers' points allowed were 17.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.1 over expected.
  • The Buccaneers had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Buccaneers had failed to cover 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Buccaneers were 1–3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • On the road, the Buccaneers' pass attempts were 4.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.8 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at PanthersBuccaneers 43, Panthers 13
Jan 3, 2026at BuccaneersBuccaneers 16, Panthers 14
Dec 21, 2025at PanthersPanthers 23, Buccaneers 20
Dec 29, 2024at BuccaneersBuccaneers 48, Panthers 14
Dec 1, 2024at PanthersBuccaneers 26, Panthers 23
Jan 7, 2024at PanthersBuccaneers 9, Panthers 0
Dec 3, 2023at BuccaneersBuccaneers 21, Panthers 18
Jan 1, 2023at BuccaneersBuccaneers 30, Panthers 24
Oct 23, 2022at PanthersPanthers 21, Buccaneers 3
Jan 9, 2022at BuccaneersBuccaneers 41, Panthers 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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