Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Colts @ Vikings

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Vikings 16, Colts 10The Vikings were favored by 6.5, and the Colts covered.

Colts at Vikings: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameColts1 gameVikings1 game
Points−11.5−8.2
Points allowed−6.6−12.5
Total offense, yards−73−67
Total defense, yards−44−71
Passing yards−125−84
Rushing yards+42+19
Yards an attempt−2.0−1.2
Sacks taken+1.6+0.7
Turnovers−0.1−1.4
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Vikings

Colts

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Vikings

  • The Vikings had won 10 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
  • The Vikings had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings had covered 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings were 6.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 32, and 7.4 better at home than away over their last 35, 4th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

Colts

  • The Colts were 2.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 27th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Colts lead the series 10–8–1 since 1966. The Vikings have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Vikings had covered 9 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Vikings were 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, the Vikings' points were 5.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6 under expected.
  • The Colts had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Colts were 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • On the road, the Colts' sacks taken were 2.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at VikingsVikings 16, Colts 10
Nov 3, 2024at VikingsVikings 21, Colts 13
Dec 17, 2022at VikingsVikings 39, Colts 36
Sep 20, 2020at ColtsColts 28, Vikings 11
Dec 18, 2016at VikingsColts 34, Vikings 6
Sep 16, 2012at ColtsColts 23, Vikings 20
Sep 14, 2008at VikingsColts 18, Vikings 15
Nov 8, 2004at ColtsColts 31, Vikings 28
Dec 24, 2000at ColtsColts 31, Vikings 10
Dec 21, 1997at VikingsVikings 39, Colts 28

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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