Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Packers @ Lions

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Lions 20, Packers 17The Lions were favored by 3.5, and the Packers covered.

Packers at Lions: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePackers1 gameLions1 game
Points−6.6−2.7
Points allowed−5.2−5.6
Total offense, yards−26+81
Total defense, yards+48−10
Passing yards+38+70
Rushing yards−50+6
Yards an attempt−1.1+2.6
Sacks taken−1.4−1.4
Turnovers−0.3+0.9
Turnovers forced+1.0−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lions

Packers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lions

  • The Lions were 0.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 18th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

Packers

  • The Packers were 0.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 19th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Lions had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Lions were 1–2–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, the Lions' carries were 3.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.
  • The Packers had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Packers' passing yards were 147.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.8 under expected.
  • On the road, the Packers' rushing yards were 19.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.8 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at LionsLions 20, Packers 17
Nov 27, 2025at LionsPackers 31, Lions 24
Sep 7, 2025at PackersPackers 27, Lions 13
Dec 5, 2024at LionsLions 34, Packers 31
Nov 3, 2024at PackersLions 24, Packers 14
Nov 23, 2023at LionsPackers 29, Lions 22
Sep 28, 2023at PackersLions 34, Packers 20
Jan 8, 2023at PackersLions 20, Packers 16
Nov 6, 2022at LionsLions 15, Packers 9
Jan 9, 2022at LionsLions 37, Packers 30

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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