Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Titans @ Colts

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Titans 26, Colts 20The Colts were favored by 6.5, and the Titans covered.

Titans at Colts: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTitans1 gameColts1 game
Points+2.2−3.5
Points allowed−2.4+4.7
Total offense, yards−169+75
Total defense, yards+107−140
Passing yards−132+34
Rushing yards−33+51
Yards an attempt−2.8−1.0
Sacks taken−2.3+3.7
Turnovers−0.5+1.7
Turnovers forced+1.6−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Colts

Titans

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colts

  • The Colts were 1.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 20th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.

Titans

  • The Titans had lost 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Titans were 5.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 29th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Colts had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Colts' turnovers were 1.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.7 over expected.
  • At home, the Colts' turnovers were 1.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.7 over expected.
  • The Titans were 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • Against a division opponent, the Titans' points of margin were 22.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.8 over expected.
  • On the road, the Titans' sacks taken were 1.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at ColtsTitans 26, Colts 20
Oct 26, 2025at ColtsColts 38, Titans 14
Sep 21, 2025at TitansColts 41, Titans 20
Dec 22, 2024at ColtsColts 38, Titans 30
Oct 13, 2024at TitansColts 20, Titans 17
Dec 3, 2023at TitansColts 31, Titans 28
Oct 8, 2023at ColtsColts 23, Titans 16
Oct 23, 2022at TitansTitans 19, Colts 10
Oct 2, 2022at ColtsTitans 24, Colts 17
Oct 31, 2021at ColtsTitans 34, Colts 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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