Jaguars @ Titans

Sun, Nov 15 · Nissan Stadium

The line has it Jaguars 28, Titans 18.Jaguars −9.5, total 45.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Jaguars at Titans: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Jaguars7 games	Titans8 games
	+5.0	−5.4
	−7.1	+2.3
	+15	−66
	+3	+57
	+8	−49
	+9	−15
	+1.7	−1.2
	−0.5	−0.7
	−0.6	+0.1
	+0.5	+0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Titans

The Titans are 0.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 20th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Jaguars

The Jaguars are 8.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32, and 9.4 worse away than at home over their last 35, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The Titans lead the series 35–28 since 1995. The Jaguars have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

The Titans have lost 9 of their last 10.countits form →
The Titans are 4–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Since Carnell Tate’s last game, the Titans' points allowed are 17.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Tyjae Spears’ last game, the Titans' points allowed are 11.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Against a division opponent, the Titans' passing yards are 94.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
The Jaguars have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
The Jaguars have won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →
The Jaguars are 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
After a bye, the Jaguars' points of margin are 31.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Against a division opponent, the Jaguars' points are 12.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, the Jaguars' points are 7.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Jan 4, 2026	at Jaguars	Jaguars 41, Titans 7
Nov 30, 2025	at Titans	Jaguars 25, Titans 3
Dec 29, 2024	at Jaguars	Jaguars 20, Titans 13
Dec 8, 2024	at Titans	Jaguars 10, Titans 6
Jan 7, 2024	at Titans	Titans 28, Jaguars 20
Nov 19, 2023	at Jaguars	Jaguars 34, Titans 14
Jan 7, 2023	at Jaguars	Jaguars 20, Titans 16
Dec 11, 2022	at Titans	Jaguars 36, Titans 22
Dec 12, 2021	at Titans	Titans 20, Jaguars 0
Oct 10, 2021	at Jaguars	Titans 37, Jaguars 19

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.