Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Steelers @ Buccaneers

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Steelers 26, Buccaneers 19The Steelers were favored by 2.5, and the Steelers covered.

Steelers at Buccaneers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSteelers1 gameBuccaneers1 game
Points+3.9−3.3
Points allowed−4.1+3.4
Total offense, yards+9−79
Total defense, yards−73−6
Passing yards+20−71
Rushing yards−17−5
Yards an attempt−1.9−3.4
Sacks taken+2.8+2.6
Turnovers0.0+0.8
Turnovers forced+0.7−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Buccaneers

Steelers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Buccaneers

  • The Buccaneers were 0.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 19th of 32, and 4.6 worse at home than away over their last 35, 29th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−4.5 against the line this game.

Steelers

  • The Steelers were 0.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 17th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+4.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Steelers lead the series 11–2 since 1976. The Steelers have won the last 3. The Steelers have won 5 straight at the Buccaneers.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Buccaneers had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Buccaneers had failed to cover 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Buccaneers were 1–2–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, the Buccaneers' sacks taken were 1.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 over expected.
  • On the road, the Steelers' sacks taken were 2.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at BuccaneersSteelers 26, Buccaneers 19
Oct 16, 2022at SteelersSteelers 20, Buccaneers 18
Sep 24, 2018at BuccaneersSteelers 30, Buccaneers 27
Sep 28, 2014at SteelersBuccaneers 27, Steelers 24
Sep 26, 2010at BuccaneersSteelers 38, Buccaneers 13
Dec 3, 2006at SteelersSteelers 20, Buccaneers 3
Dec 23, 2002at BuccaneersSteelers 17, Buccaneers 7
Oct 21, 2001at BuccaneersSteelers 17, Buccaneers 10
Dec 13, 1998at BuccaneersBuccaneers 16, Steelers 3
Dec 24, 1989at BuccaneersSteelers 31, Buccaneers 22

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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