Chargers @ Chiefs

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Chiefs 22, Chargers 6The Chiefs were favored by 7.5, and the Chiefs covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Chiefs had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
The Chiefs were 4.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 4th of 32, and 6.4 better at home than away over their last 35, 5th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.

The Chargers had lost 8 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
The Chargers were 8.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.

The Chiefs had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
The Chiefs had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Chiefs were 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
Against a division opponent, the Chiefs' rushing yards were 82.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.3 over expected.
At home, the Chiefs' rushing yards were 68.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.3 over expected.
The Chargers had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Against a division opponent, the Chargers' passing yards were 77.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.6 under expected.
On the road, the Chargers' rushing yards were 38.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 38.1 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.