Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Jaguars vs Texans

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Texans 34, Jaguars 31The Jaguars were favored by 2.5, and the Texans covered.

Jaguars vs Texans: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJaguars1 gameTexans1 game
Points+7.9+12.6
Points allowed+11.3+6.8
Total offense, yards+64+84
Total defense, yards+82+61
Passing yards+71+77
Rushing yards−4+9
Yards an attempt+0.2+2.0
Sacks taken−2.4−2.3
Turnovers−0.4−0.1
Turnovers forced0.0−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Texans

Jaguars

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Texans

  • The Texans were 2.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 23rd of 32.fact · rankedits form →+5.5 against the line this game.

Jaguars

  • The Jaguars were 7.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →−5.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Texans lead the series 33–16 since 2002. The Texans have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Texans had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Texans' points allowed were 11.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.5 over expected.
  • The Jaguars had won 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Jaguars had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026neutralTexans 34, Jaguars 31
Nov 9, 2025at TexansTexans 36, Jaguars 29
Sep 21, 2025at JaguarsJaguars 17, Texans 10
Dec 1, 2024at JaguarsTexans 23, Jaguars 20
Sep 29, 2024at TexansTexans 24, Jaguars 20
Nov 26, 2023at TexansJaguars 24, Texans 21
Sep 24, 2023at JaguarsTexans 37, Jaguars 17
Jan 1, 2023at TexansJaguars 31, Texans 3
Oct 9, 2022at JaguarsTexans 13, Jaguars 6
Dec 19, 2021at JaguarsTexans 30, Jaguars 16

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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