Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Ravens @ Browns

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Browns 13, Ravens 10The Ravens were favored by 3, and the Browns covered.

Ravens at Browns: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRavens1 gameBrowns1 game
Points−13.0−10.8
Points allowed−8.8−13.2
Total offense, yards−96−93
Total defense, yards−86−103
Passing yards−68−71
Rushing yards−29−19
Yards an attempt−1.8−0.9
Sacks taken+0.7+2.8
Turnovers−0.3−1.3
Turnovers forced−1.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Browns

Ravens

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Browns

  • The Browns had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Browns were 1.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 32, and 8.1 better at home than away over their last 35, 3rd of 32.fact · rankedits form →+6.0 against the line this game.

Ravens

  • The Ravens were 0.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 32, and 8.0 better away than at home over their last 35, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−6.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Browns were 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • Against a division opponent, the Browns' points were 6.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.9 under expected.
  • At home, the Browns' sacks taken were 0.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 over expected.
  • The Ravens had won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • The Ravens were 1–2–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, the Ravens' rushing yards were 95.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 34.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at BrownsBrowns 13, Ravens 10
Nov 16, 2025at BrownsRavens 23, Browns 16
Sep 14, 2025at RavensRavens 41, Browns 17
Jan 4, 2025at RavensRavens 35, Browns 10
Oct 27, 2024at BrownsBrowns 29, Ravens 24
Nov 12, 2023at RavensBrowns 33, Ravens 31
Oct 1, 2023at BrownsRavens 28, Browns 3
Dec 17, 2022at BrownsBrowns 13, Ravens 3
Oct 23, 2022at RavensRavens 23, Browns 20
Dec 12, 2021at BrownsBrowns 24, Ravens 22

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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