Cardinals @ Rams

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Cardinals 18, Rams 16The Rams were favored by 12.5, and the Cardinals covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Rams were 3.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 26th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.

The Cardinals' carries were 5.4 lower vs a division opponent than vs a team outside the division against expected over their last 35 games, 32nd of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 9.0 over expected.
The Cardinals had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
The Cardinals were 6.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 31st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.

The Rams had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Rams had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Rams had covered 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
The Rams were 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
Against a division opponent, the Rams' points were 16.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 under expected.
At home, the Rams' pass attempts were 7.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 under expected.
The Cardinals had failed to cover 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Cardinals were 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
On the road, the Cardinals' pass attempts were 6.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.
Against a division opponent, the Cardinals' passing yards were 43.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.5 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.