Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Vikings @ Saints

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Vikings 23, Saints 13The Vikings were favored by 2.5, and the Vikings covered.

Vikings at Saints: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVikings1 gameSaints1 game
Points−0.8−8.6
Points allowed−10.7+1.0
Total offense, yards+25−190
Total defense, yards−203+61
Passing yards−5−137
Rushing yards+36−61
Yards an attempt+0.3−3.1
Sacks taken−0.3−1.4
Turnovers+0.7+1.8
Turnovers forced+1.6+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Saints

Vikings

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Saints

  • The Saints had covered 7 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Saints were 3.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 24th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Vikings

  • The Vikings had won 9 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
  • The Vikings had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings were 6.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 32, and 8.0 worse away than at home over their last 35, 30th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Vikings lead the series 26–13 since 1968. The Vikings have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Saints had covered 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Saints' points allowed were 16.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 under expected.
  • The Vikings had covered 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • On the road, the Vikings' points allowed were 12.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at SaintsVikings 23, Saints 13
Nov 12, 2023at VikingsVikings 27, Saints 19
Oct 2, 2022neutralVikings 28, Saints 25
Dec 25, 2020at SaintsSaints 52, Vikings 33
Jan 5, 2020at SaintsVikings 26, Saints 20
Oct 28, 2018at VikingsSaints 30, Vikings 20
Jan 14, 2018at VikingsVikings 29, Saints 24
Sep 11, 2017at VikingsVikings 29, Saints 19
Sep 21, 2014at SaintsSaints 20, Vikings 9
Dec 18, 2011at VikingsSaints 42, Vikings 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.