Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Texans @ Titans

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Texans 26, Titans 3The Texans were favored by 6.5, and the Texans covered.

Texans at Titans: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTexans1 gameTitans1 game
Points+2.8−20.9
Points allowed−19.4+3.1
Total offense, yards−20−130
Total defense, yards−100−8
Passing yards+26−65
Rushing yards−37−55
Yards an attempt+0.3−2.6
Sacks taken−0.3+1.7
Turnovers−1.2+0.6
Turnovers forced+0.7−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Titans

Texans

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Titans

  • The Titans had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • The Titans were 2.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 20th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−16.5 against the line this game.

Texans

  • The Texans had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Texans had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Texans were 7.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 29th of 32, and 4.3 better away than at home over their last 35, 5th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+16.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Texans lead the series 25–24 since 2002. The Texans have won the last 4. The Texans have won 6 straight at the Titans.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Titans' pass attempts were 6.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 over expected.
  • On the road, the Texans' passing yards were 84.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at TitansTexans 26, Titans 3
Nov 16, 2025at TitansTexans 16, Titans 13
Sep 28, 2025at TexansTexans 26, Titans 0
Jan 5, 2025at TitansTexans 23, Titans 14
Nov 24, 2024at TexansTitans 32, Texans 27
Dec 31, 2023at TexansTexans 26, Titans 3
Dec 17, 2023at TitansTexans 19, Titans 16
Dec 24, 2022at TitansTexans 19, Titans 14
Oct 30, 2022at TexansTitans 17, Texans 10
Jan 9, 2022at TexansTitans 28, Texans 25

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next