Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Lions @ Cardinals

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Lions 45, Cardinals 21The Lions were favored by 5.5, and the Lions covered.

Lions at Cardinals: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLions1 gameCardinals1 game
Points+21.3−2.7
Points allowed−1.9+21.2
Total offense, yards+88−6
Total defense, yards+7+64
Passing yards+37+63
Rushing yards+50−55
Yards an attempt+1.6−1.0
Sacks taken+0.7+2.6
Turnovers−1.3−0.3
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cardinals

Lions

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Cardinals

  • The Cardinals' carries were 6.0 lower vs a division opponent than vs a team outside the division against expected over their last 35 games, 32nd of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 8.1 under expected.
  • The Cardinals were 3.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 25th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−18.5 against the line this game.

Lions

  • The Lions were 5.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 28th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+18.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Cardinals lead the series 17–15–1 since 1967. The Lions have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Cardinals had lost 9 of their last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • The Cardinals had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Cardinals' passing yards were 129.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 32.8 over expected.
  • The Lions had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, the Lions' passing yards were 123.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at CardinalsLions 45, Cardinals 21
Sep 22, 2024at CardinalsLions 20, Cardinals 13
Dec 19, 2021at LionsLions 30, Cardinals 12
Sep 27, 2020at CardinalsLions 26, Cardinals 23
Sep 8, 2019at CardinalsCardinals 27, Lions 27
Dec 9, 2018at CardinalsLions 17, Cardinals 3
Sep 10, 2017at LionsLions 35, Cardinals 23
Oct 11, 2015at LionsCardinals 42, Lions 17
Nov 16, 2014at CardinalsCardinals 14, Lions 6
Sep 15, 2013at CardinalsCardinals 25, Lions 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.