Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Browns @ Jets

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Jets 17, Browns 12The Jets were favored by 2.5, and the Jets covered.

Browns at Jets: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBrowns1 gameJets1 game
Points−11.3−6.0
Points allowed−5.9−9.6
Total offense, yards−94−31
Total defense, yards−33−89
Passing yards−78−51
Rushing yards−19+18
Yards an attempt−2.5−1.0
Sacks taken+5.7+1.7
Turnovers−0.4+0.7
Turnovers forced+0.9−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Jets

Browns

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Jets

  • The Jets were 1.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+2.5 against the line this game.

Browns

  • The Browns had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Browns were 2.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 11th of 32, and 8.3 worse away than at home over their last 35, 31st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−2.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The series is tied 16–16 since 1970. The Jets have won the last 2. The Jets have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Jets had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Jets' pass attempts were 8.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6 under expected.
  • The Browns were 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, the Browns' rushing yards were 39.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 22.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 11, 2026at JetsJets 17, Browns 12
Nov 9, 2025at JetsJets 27, Browns 20
Dec 28, 2023at BrownsBrowns 37, Jets 20
Sep 18, 2022at BrownsJets 31, Browns 30
Dec 27, 2020at JetsJets 23, Browns 16
Sep 16, 2019at JetsBrowns 23, Jets 3
Sep 20, 2018at BrownsBrowns 21, Jets 17
Oct 8, 2017at BrownsJets 17, Browns 14
Oct 30, 2016at BrownsJets 31, Browns 28
Sep 13, 2015at JetsJets 31, Browns 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.