Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Buccaneers @ Cowboys

Thu, Oct 8, 2026

Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16The Cowboys were favored by 9.5, and the Buccaneers covered.

Buccaneers at Cowboys: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBuccaneers1 gameCowboys1 game
Points+0.4−6.5
Points allowed−8.8+1.4
Total offense, yards+73+32
Total defense, yards+18+103
Passing yards−45+83
Rushing yards+124−58
Yards an attempt+0.3+0.6
Sacks taken−1.3−2.3
Turnovers−1.4+1.9
Turnovers forced+1.9−1.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cowboys

Buccaneers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Cowboys

  • The Cowboys were 2.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 11th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.

Buccaneers

  • The Buccaneers had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Buccaneers were 5.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 27th of 32, and 3.4 better away than at home over their last 35, 5th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, the Cowboys' points of margin were 17.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.1 under expected.
  • The Buccaneers had failed to cover 9 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • On the road, the Buccaneers' turnovers were 2.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 8, 2026at CowboysBuccaneers 24, Cowboys 16
Dec 22, 2024at CowboysCowboys 26, Buccaneers 24
Jan 16, 2023at BuccaneersCowboys 31, Buccaneers 14
Sep 11, 2022at CowboysBuccaneers 19, Cowboys 3
Sep 9, 2021at BuccaneersBuccaneers 31, Cowboys 29
Dec 23, 2018at CowboysCowboys 27, Buccaneers 20
Dec 18, 2016at CowboysCowboys 26, Buccaneers 20
Nov 15, 2015at BuccaneersBuccaneers 10, Cowboys 6
Sep 23, 2012at CowboysCowboys 16, Buccaneers 10
Dec 17, 2011at BuccaneersCowboys 31, Buccaneers 15

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 7, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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