Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Jets @ Bears

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Bears 23, Jets 12The Bears were favored by 3.5, and the Bears covered.

Jets at Bears: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJets1 gameBears1 game
Points−10.7−0.2
Points allowed−1.3−10.8
Total offense, yards−167+162
Total defense, yards+134−176
Passing yards−115+35
Rushing yards−49+120
Yards an attempt+0.6+0.8
Sacks taken+0.7−1.3
Turnovers−1.2+0.6
Turnovers forced+0.7−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bears

Jets

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bears

  • The Bears were 10.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 3rd of 32.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

Jets

  • The Jets were 5.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 7th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Bears lead the series 10–4 since 1974. The Bears have won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Bears had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Bears' points allowed were 13.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.7 under expected.
  • The Jets had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • On the road, the Jets' turnovers were 0.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026at BearsBears 23, Jets 12
Nov 27, 2022at JetsJets 31, Bears 10
Oct 28, 2018at BearsBears 24, Jets 10
Sep 22, 2014at JetsBears 27, Jets 19
Dec 26, 2010at BearsBears 38, Jets 34
Nov 19, 2006at JetsBears 10, Jets 0
Dec 15, 2002at BearsBears 20, Jets 13
Nov 26, 2000at JetsJets 17, Bears 10
Nov 16, 1997at BearsJets 23, Bears 15
Sep 25, 1994at JetsBears 19, Jets 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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