Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Chiefs @ Raiders

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Chiefs 30, Raiders 27The Chiefs were favored by 4.5, and the Raiders covered.

Chiefs at Raiders: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameChiefs1 gameRaiders1 game
Points+6.1+4.8
Points allowed+2.6+7.1
Total offense, yards+44+100
Total defense, yards+93+41
Passing yards−10+132
Rushing yards+60−39
Yards an attempt+0.20.0
Sacks taken−0.3−2.2
Turnovers−1.1+0.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Raiders

Chiefs

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Raiders

  • The Raiders had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Raiders had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • The Raiders were 13.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

Chiefs

  • The Chiefs were 6.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 32, and 5.4 worse away than at home over their last 35, 28th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, the Raiders’ passing yards were 99.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 113.8 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Raiders’ rushing yards were 51.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.2 under expected.
  • The Chiefs had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Chiefs’ rushing yards were 108.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 55.8 over expected.
  • On the road, the Chiefs’ pass attempts were 8.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026at RaidersChiefs 30, Raiders 27
Jan 4, 2026at RaidersRaiders 14, Chiefs 12
Oct 19, 2025at ChiefsChiefs 31, Raiders 0
Nov 29, 2024at ChiefsChiefs 19, Raiders 17
Oct 27, 2024at RaidersChiefs 27, Raiders 20
Dec 25, 2023at ChiefsRaiders 20, Chiefs 14
Nov 26, 2023at RaidersChiefs 31, Raiders 17
Jan 7, 2023at RaidersChiefs 31, Raiders 13
Oct 10, 2022at ChiefsChiefs 30, Raiders 29
Dec 12, 2021at ChiefsChiefs 48, Raiders 9

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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