Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Jaguars @ Bengals

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Jaguars 22, Bengals 17The Bengals were favored by 2.5, and the Jaguars covered.

Jaguars at Bengals: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJaguars1 gameBengals1 game
Points−0.9−4.9
Points allowed−8.4−2.5
Total offense, yards−19+109
Total defense, yards+93−16
Passing yards−8+194
Rushing yards−3−85
Yards an attempt+2.7+0.7
Sacks taken+1.6−0.3
Turnovers−1.1+0.9
Turnovers forced+0.7−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bengals

Jaguars

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bengals

  • The Bengals were 4.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 8th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Jaguars

  • The Jaguars were 12.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 32, and 8.3 worse away than at home over their last 35, 30th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Bengals had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, the Bengals' points were 9.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 under expected.
  • The Jaguars had covered 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Jaguars had won 7 of their last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, the Jaguars' points were 11.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026at BengalsJaguars 22, Bengals 17
Sep 14, 2025at BengalsBengals 31, Jaguars 27
Dec 4, 2023at JaguarsBengals 34, Jaguars 31
Sep 30, 2021at BengalsBengals 24, Jaguars 21
Oct 4, 2020at BengalsBengals 33, Jaguars 25
Oct 20, 2019at BengalsJaguars 27, Bengals 17
Nov 5, 2017at JaguarsJaguars 23, Bengals 7
Nov 2, 2014at BengalsBengals 33, Jaguars 23
Sep 30, 2012at JaguarsBengals 27, Jaguars 10
Oct 9, 2011at JaguarsBengals 30, Jaguars 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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