Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Lions @ Panthers

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Panthers 32, Lions 26The Lions were favored by 4.5, and the Panthers covered.

Lions at Panthers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLions1 gamePanthers1 game
Points+2.3+8.6
Points allowed+8.5+1.4
Total offense, yards+113+99
Total defense, yards+98+90
Passing yards+180+93
Rushing yards−74+18
Yards an attempt+1.1+0.9
Sacks taken−1.2+0.6
Turnovers−1.2−1.3
Turnovers forced−1.4−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Panthers

Lions

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Panthers

  • The Panthers were 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 13th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

Lions

  • The Lions were 3.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 22nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Panthers lead the series 9–4 since 1999. The Panthers have won 7 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Panthers had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, the Panthers’ points allowed were 35.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • The Lions had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Lions’ points allowed were 15.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.0 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026at PanthersPanthers 32, Lions 26
Oct 8, 2023at LionsLions 42, Panthers 24
Dec 24, 2022at PanthersPanthers 37, Lions 23
Nov 22, 2020at PanthersPanthers 20, Lions 0
Nov 18, 2018at LionsLions 20, Panthers 19
Oct 8, 2017at LionsPanthers 27, Lions 24
Sep 14, 2014at PanthersPanthers 24, Lions 7
Nov 20, 2011at LionsLions 49, Panthers 35
Nov 16, 2008at PanthersPanthers 31, Lions 22
Oct 16, 2005at LionsPanthers 21, Lions 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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