Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Cowboys @ Texans

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Cowboys 34, Texans 30The Texans were favored by 3, and the Cowboys covered.

Cowboys at Texans: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCowboys1 gameTexans1 game
Points+11.1+6.4
Points allowed+7.0+10.2
Total offense, yards+63+49
Total defense, yards+63+67
Passing yards+101+113
Rushing yards−35−61
Yards an attempt+0.2+4.0
Sacks taken+0.6−0.3
Turnovers−1.3−1.4
Turnovers forced−1.1−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Texans

Cowboys

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Texans

  • The Texans had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Texans had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • The Texans were 8.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 28th of 32, and 3.8 worse at home than away over their last 35, 29th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−7.0 against the line this game.

Cowboys

  • The Cowboys were 0.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 14th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+7.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Texans had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, the Texans' pass attempts were 12.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8 under expected.
  • On the road, the Cowboys' sacks taken were 2.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 4, 2026at TexansCowboys 34, Texans 30
Nov 18, 2024at CowboysTexans 34, Cowboys 10
Dec 11, 2022at CowboysCowboys 27, Texans 23
Oct 7, 2018at TexansTexans 19, Cowboys 16
Oct 5, 2014at CowboysCowboys 20, Texans 17
Sep 26, 2010at TexansCowboys 27, Texans 13
Oct 15, 2006at CowboysCowboys 34, Texans 6
Sep 8, 2002at TexansTexans 19, Cowboys 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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