Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Vikings @ Buccaneers

Sun, Sep 27, 2026

Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16The Vikings were favored by 1.5, and the Vikings covered.

Vikings at Buccaneers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVikings1 gameBuccaneers1 game
Points+0.8−5.5
Points allowed−7.2+1.0
Total offense, yards−90−62
Total defense, yards−64−84
Passing yards−66−15
Rushing yards−28−59
Yards an attempt−1.2−1.0
Sacks taken+0.7+3.6
Turnovers0.0+0.9
Turnovers forced+0.7−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Buccaneers

Vikings

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Buccaneers

  • The Buccaneers had failed to cover 11 straight, the 2nd-longest since 1999.streakthe runs →Extended to 12.

Vikings

  • The Vikings had covered 7 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
  • The Vikings had won 7 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Vikings had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • The Buccaneers had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, the Buccaneers' carries were 4.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.4 under expected.
  • On the road, the Vikings' points allowed were 20.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.5 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 27, 2026at BuccaneersVikings 23, Buccaneers 16
Sep 10, 2023at VikingsBuccaneers 20, Vikings 17
Dec 13, 2020at BuccaneersBuccaneers 26, Vikings 14
Sep 24, 2017at VikingsVikings 34, Buccaneers 17
Oct 26, 2014at BuccaneersVikings 19, Buccaneers 13
Oct 25, 2012at VikingsBuccaneers 36, Vikings 17
Sep 18, 2011at VikingsBuccaneers 24, Vikings 20
Nov 16, 2008at BuccaneersBuccaneers 19, Vikings 13
Sep 11, 2005at VikingsBuccaneers 24, Vikings 13
Nov 3, 2002at BuccaneersBuccaneers 38, Vikings 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 26, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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