Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Colts @ Chiefs

Sun, Sep 20, 2026

Chiefs 33, Colts 30The Chiefs were favored by 6, and the Colts covered.

Colts at Chiefs: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameColts1 gameChiefs1 game
Points+8.0+9.2
Points allowed+10.0+8.2
Total offense, yards−11+190
Total defense, yards+179−1
Passing yards−24+149
Rushing yards+10+36
Yards an attempt−0.2+0.8
Sacks taken−2.2−0.3
Turnovers−0.2−1.4
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Chiefs

Colts

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colts

  • The Colts had lost 8 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.

The series

  • The Colts lead the series 18–12 since 1970. The Chiefs have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Chiefs had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Chiefs had failed to cover 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Colts had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 20, 2026at ChiefsChiefs 33, Colts 30
Nov 23, 2025at ChiefsChiefs 23, Colts 20
Sep 25, 2022at ColtsColts 20, Chiefs 17
Oct 6, 2019at ChiefsColts 19, Chiefs 13
Jan 12, 2019at ChiefsChiefs 31, Colts 13
Oct 30, 2016at ColtsChiefs 30, Colts 14
Jan 4, 2014at ColtsColts 45, Chiefs 44
Dec 22, 2013at ChiefsColts 23, Chiefs 7
Dec 23, 2012at ChiefsColts 20, Chiefs 13
Oct 9, 2011at ColtsChiefs 28, Colts 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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