Every team against expected in the NFL
Every team’s on ,
The Bills have the best points on offense against expected, +10.2 a game this season, first of 32.
| Place | Team | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bills | +10.2 | +2.8 |
| 2 |  Bengals | +6.8 | −0.2 |
| 3 |  Lions | +5.9 | +2.6 |
| 4 |  49ers | +5.0 | −2.9 |
| 5 |  Jaguars | +5.0 | −7.1 |
| 6 |  Raiders | +4.6 | +6.1 |
| 7 |  Cowboys | +4.2 | +4.1 |
| 8 |  Bears | +4.0 | −2.7 |
| 9 |  Panthers | +2.6 | +4.9 |
| 10 |  Rams | +0.9 | −2.2 |
| 11 |  Chiefs | +0.6 | −3.8 |
| 12 |  Texans | +0.4 | +0.5 |
| 13 |  Saints | +0.2 | +4.6 |
| 14 |  Seahawks | +0.2 | −3.2 |
| 15 |  Patriots | +0.1 | −3.5 |
| 16 |  Giants | −0.3 | 0.0 |
| 17 |  Commanders | −0.5 | +3.3 |
| 18 |  Steelers | −0.6 | −4.8 |
| 19 |  Buccaneers | −0.6 | −4.3 |
| 20 |  Ravens | −1.1 | +2.2 |
| 21 |  Cardinals | −1.1 | +6.7 |
| 22 |  Broncos | −1.2 | −2.6 |
| 23 |  Falcons | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| 24 |  Packers | −1.6 | −3.0 |
| 25 |  Jets | −1.9 | +0.6 |
Method
- Each number is a team’s games against what each opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- A place is among the teams with the sport’s floor of games, the best first: more on offense and less on defense, except where less is better on offense (turnovers, sacks taken, penalties) or more on defense (turnovers forced, sacks).
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took.