Athletic Club
4–3–3 · Beat Real Sociedad 2–1, Nov 1
Next: at Osasuna, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Athletic Club has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.23 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.08 a game over, 45th of 110.
last 4
+0.23
before
−0.02
-202
Oct 17, 2026 @ Valencia −0.23
Oct 21, 2026 @ Levante −2.29
Oct 25, 2026 vs Getafe +3.00
Nov 1, 2026 vs Real Sociedad +0.44
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10count
Aug 22 vs Sevilla −2
Aug 27 @ Barcelona −2
Aug 30 @ Celta Vigo +2
Sep 5 vs Atlético Madrid +3
Sep 12 vs Elche 0
Sep 19 vs Alavés 0- Oct 17 @ Valencia 0
- Oct 21 @ Levante −2
- Oct 25 vs Getafe +4
- Nov 1 vs Real Sociedad +1
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 12, 2026 vs Villarreal −1
Apr 21, 2026 vs Osasuna +1- May 10, 2026 vs Valencia −1
- May 17, 2026 vs Celta Vigo 0
- Aug 22 vs Sevilla −2
- Sep 5 vs Atlético Madrid +3
- Sep 12 vs Elche 0
- Sep 19 vs Alavés 0
- Oct 25 vs Getafe +4
- Nov 1 vs Real Sociedad +1
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
- Aug 22 vs Sevilla −2
- Aug 27 @ Barcelona −2
- Aug 30 @ Celta Vigo +2
- Sep 5 vs Atlético Madrid +3
- Sep 12 vs Elche 0
- Sep 19 vs Alavés 0
- Oct 17 @ Valencia 0
- Oct 21 @ Levante −2
- Oct 25 vs Getafe +4
- Nov 1 vs Real Sociedad +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.17 · 51st | −0.58 · 13th |
| Expected goals | +0.18 · 25th | −0.20 · 24th |
| Shots | +1.2 · 30th | −2.8 · 13th |
| Points | +0.11 · 35th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.