
Nottingham Forest
1–3–5 · Lost to Brentford 2–0, Oct 31
Next: vs Manchester City, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Nottingham Forest has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.97 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.49 a game under, 89th of 110.
last 4
−0.98
before
−0.10
-2-101
Oct 11, 2026 @ Crystal Palace −2.12
Oct 18, 2026 vs Arsenal +0.17
Oct 23, 2026 @ Ipswich Town −0.30
Oct 31, 2026 @ Brentford −1.65
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
Aug 22 vs Leeds United −1
Aug 29 @ Liverpool 0
Sep 5 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0
Sep 12 @ Aston Villa +1
Sep 19 vs Coventry City −1
Oct 11 @ Crystal Palace −2
Oct 18 vs Arsenal −1
Oct 23 @ Ipswich Town 0
Oct 31 @ Brentford −2
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Mar 4, 2026 @ Manchester City 0
Mar 22, 2026 @ Tottenham Hotspur +3
Apr 24, 2026 @ Sunderland +5
May 4, 2026 @ Chelsea +2
May 17, 2026 @ Manchester United −1
Aug 29 @ Liverpool 0
Sep 12 @ Aston Villa +1
Oct 11 @ Crystal Palace −2
Oct 23 @ Ipswich Town 0
Oct 31 @ Brentford −2
- Won 1 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
Aug 22 vs Leeds United −1
Aug 29 @ Liverpool 0
Sep 5 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0
Sep 12 @ Aston Villa +1
Sep 19 vs Coventry City −1
Oct 11 @ Crystal Palace −2
Oct 18 vs Arsenal −1
Oct 23 @ Ipswich Town 0
Oct 31 @ Brentford −2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.88 · 91st | −0.18 · 37th |
| Expected goals | +0.22 · 22nd | −0.38 · 14th |
| Shots | +2.8 · 15th | −4.0 · 8th |
| Points | −0.68 · 87th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.