Brentford
3–5–1 · Beat Nottingham Forest 2–0, Oct 31
Next: at Brighton & Hove Albion, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Brentford has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.04 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.52 a game over, 17th of 110.
last 4
−0.04
before
+0.96
012
Oct 10, 2026 @ Aston Villa +0.03
Oct 17, 2026 vs Liverpool −0.91
Oct 25, 2026 @ Hull City −0.92
Oct 31, 2026 vs Nottingham Forest +1.65
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 16, 2026 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 0
Apr 11, 2026 vs Everton 0
Apr 18, 2026 vs Fulham 0
May 2, 2026 vs West Ham United +3
May 17, 2026 vs Crystal Palace 0
Aug 22 vs Tottenham Hotspur +3
Sep 5 vs Sunderland 0
Sep 18 vs Chelsea +3- Oct 17 vs Liverpool −1
- Oct 31 vs Nottingham Forest +2
- Won 3 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ Liverpool 0
- Aug 22 vs Tottenham Hotspur +3
Aug 30 @ Leeds United 0- Sep 5 vs Sunderland 0
Sep 12 @ AFC Bournemouth 0- Sep 18 vs Chelsea +3
- Oct 10 @ Aston Villa 0
- Oct 17 vs Liverpool −1
- Oct 25 @ Hull City 0
- Oct 31 vs Nottingham Forest +2
- Won 2 of its last 10 by 3 or morecount
- May 24, 2026 @ Liverpool 0
- Aug 22 vs Tottenham Hotspur +3
- Aug 30 @ Leeds United 0
- Sep 5 vs Sunderland 0
- Sep 12 @ AFC Bournemouth 0
- Sep 18 vs Chelsea +3
- Oct 10 @ Aston Villa 0
- Oct 17 vs Liverpool −1
- Oct 25 @ Hull City 0
- Oct 31 vs Nottingham Forest +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.27 · 28th | −0.46 · 21st |
| Expected goals | +0.16 · 27th | −0.08 · 41st |
| Shots | +0.8 · 35th | +1.0 · 60th |
| Points | +0.18 · 34th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.