Fulham
2–3–4 · Drew with Aston Villa 1–1, Oct 31
Next: vs Newcastle United, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Fulham has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, 0.01 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.11 a game under, 64th of 110.
last 4
−0.01
before
−0.18
-101
Oct 10, 2026 @ Ipswich Town −1.21
Oct 17, 2026 vs Hull City +0.05
Oct 24, 2026 @ Coventry City +0.58
Oct 31, 2026 @ Aston Villa +0.52
Lately
- Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 1, 2026 vs Tottenham Hotspur +1
Mar 4, 2026 vs West Ham United −1
Mar 21, 2026 vs Burnley +2- Apr 25, 2026 vs Aston Villa +1
May 9, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth −1
May 24, 2026 vs Newcastle United +2
Aug 24 vs Chelsea −1
Sep 5 vs Crystal Palace −1
Sep 20 vs Manchester United 0- Oct 17 vs Hull City +1
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 vs Newcastle United +2
- Aug 24 vs Chelsea −1
Aug 30 @ Sunderland −1- Sep 5 vs Crystal Palace −1
Sep 12 @ Liverpool 0- Sep 20 vs Manchester United 0
- Oct 10 @ Ipswich Town −1
- Oct 17 vs Hull City +1
- Oct 24 @ Coventry City +1
- Oct 31 @ Aston Villa 0
- Won 3 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 vs Newcastle United +2
- Aug 24 vs Chelsea −1
- Aug 30 @ Sunderland −1
- Sep 5 vs Crystal Palace −1
- Sep 12 @ Liverpool 0
- Sep 20 vs Manchester United 0
- Oct 10 @ Ipswich Town −1
- Oct 17 vs Hull City +1
- Oct 24 @ Coventry City +1
- Oct 31 @ Aston Villa 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.64 · 80th | −0.28 · 33rd |
| Expected goals | +0.26 · 20th | −0.12 · 32nd |
| Shots | 0.0 · 47th | +0.9 · 55th |
| Points | −0.48 · 78th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.