Brest
2–3–3 · Lost to Nice 2–1, Oct 23
Next: vs Lyon, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Brest has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.33 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.40 a game over, 23rd of 110.
last 4
+0.33
before
+0.47
02
Sep 20, 2026 @ AJ Auxerre −1.20
Oct 10, 2026 vs Angers +3.34
Oct 17, 2026 @ Lille +0.36
Oct 23, 2026 vs Nice −1.17
Lately
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
May 13, 2026 vs Strasbourg −1- May 17, 2026 vs Angers 0
Aug 22 @ Le Mans 0
Aug 29 vs Toulouse 0
Sep 5 @ Le Havre AC +1
Sep 13 vs Paris Saint-Germain −1- Sep 20 @ AJ Auxerre −1
- Oct 10 vs Angers +4
- Oct 17 @ Lille 0
- Oct 23 vs Nice −1
- Won 3 of its last 10 at homecount
Feb 20, 2026 vs Marseille +2- Mar 8, 2026 vs Le Havre AC +2
Apr 4, 2026 vs Stade Rennais −1
Apr 24, 2026 vs Lens 0- May 13, 2026 vs Strasbourg −1
- May 17, 2026 vs Angers 0
- Aug 29 vs Toulouse 0
- Sep 13 vs Paris Saint-Germain −1
- Oct 10 vs Angers +4
- Oct 23 vs Nice −1
- Won 2 of its last 10count
- May 13, 2026 vs Strasbourg −1
- May 17, 2026 vs Angers 0
- Aug 22 @ Le Mans 0
- Aug 29 vs Toulouse 0
- Sep 5 @ Le Havre AC +1
- Sep 13 vs Paris Saint-Germain −1
- Sep 20 @ AJ Auxerre −1
- Oct 10 vs Angers +4
- Oct 17 @ Lille 0
- Oct 23 vs Nice −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.11 · 35th | 0.00 · 53rd |
| Expected goals | +0.25 · 21st | −0.40 · 12th |
| Shots | +2.8 · 14th | −2.1 · 21st |
| Points | −0.36 · 67th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Brest’s splits
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.